Suppose that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample from the normal distribution with mean \(\mu\) and variance \(\sigma^2\). Recall that the Pareto distribution with shape parameter \(a \in (0, \infty)\) and scale parameter \(b \in (0, \infty)\) is a continuous distribution on \( [b, \infty) \) with probability density function \( g \) given by Continuous uniform distributions are widely used in applications to model a number chosen at random from an interval. In part (v) you need to nd an unbiased estimator of 2 that is a function of the complete su cient statistic. Bounded completeness also occurs in Bahadur's theorem. Suppose that given a parameter θ > 1, Y1, Y2,. Run the uniform estimation experiment 1000 times with various values of the parameter. Once again, the definition precisely captures the notion of minimal sufficiency, but is hard to apply. Sufficient Statistics Let U = u(X) be a statistic taking values in a set R. Intuitively, U is sufficient for θ if U contains all of the information about θ that is available in the entire data variable X. \[ \E_\theta\left[r(U)\right] = 0 \text{ for all } \theta \in T \implies \P_\theta\left[r(U) = 0\right] = 1 \text{ for all } \theta \in T \]. $\endgroup$ – knrumsey Jul 6 '18 at 22:24 A statistic Tis complete for X˘P 2Pif no non-constant function of T is rst-order ancillary. 2.A one-to-one function of a CSS is also a CSS (See later remarks). E This result is intuitively appealing: in a sequence of Bernoulli trials, all of the information about the probability of success \(p\) is contained in the number of successes \(Y\). g(R) = T. Since g is 1 … The distribution of \(\bs X\) is a \(k\)-parameter exponential family if \(S\) does not depend on \(\bs{\theta}\) and if the probability density function of \(\bs X\) can be written as. The joint PDF \( f \) of \( \bs X \) is given by if and only if: First, observe that the range of r is the positive reals. \[ h(y) = \frac{\binom{r}{y} \binom{N - r}{n - y}}{\binom{N}{n}} = \binom{n}{y} \frac{r^{(y)} (N - r)^{(n - y)}}{N^{(n)}}, \quad y \in \{\max\{0, N - n + r\}, \ldots, \min\{n, r\}\} \] \( Y \) is sufficient for \( (N, r) \). If \( y \in \{\max\{0, N - n + r\}, \ldots, \min\{n, r\}\} \), the conditional distribution of \( \bs X \) given \( Y = y \) is concentrated on \( D_y \) and ) : X →A Issue. This follows from basic properties of conditional expected value and conditional variance. If \(U\) and \(V\) are equivalent statistics and \(U\) is sufficient for \(\theta\) then \(V\) is sufficient for \(\theta\). The sample mean \(M = Y / n\) (the sample proportion of successes) is clearly equivalent to \( Y \) (the number of successes), and hence is also sufficient for \( p \) and is complete for \(p \in (0, 1)\). This will be a Intuitively, \(U\) is sufficient for \(\theta\) if \(U\) contains all of the information about \(\theta\) that is available in the entire data variable \(\bs X\). \[ f(\bs x) = g(x_1) g(x_2) \cdots g(x_n) = \frac{a^n b^{n a}}{(x_1 x_2 \cdots x_n)^{a + 1}} \bs{1}\left(x_{(n)} \ge b\right), \quad (x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n) \in (0, \infty)^n \] 1. It follows, subject to (R) and n≥3, that a complete sufficient statistic exists in the normal case only. ( 1.Under weak conditions (which are almost always true, a complete su cient statistic is also minimal. Hence Hence, if \(r: [0, \infty) \to \R\), then Examples exists that when the minimal sufficient statistic is not complete then several alternative statistics exist for unbiased estimation of θ, while some of them have lower variance than others.[5]. Minimal sufficiency follows from condition (6). Statistical Inference. \((Y, V)\) where \(Y = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i\) is the sum of the scores and \(V = \prod_{i=1}^n X_i\) is the product of the scores. We now apply the theorem to some examples. Suppose again that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample of size \(n\) from the gamma distribution with shape parameter \( k \in (0, \infty) \) and scale parameter \(b \in (0, \infty)\). F or any xe d and 0 a statistic U is su cient i p (x) p 0 (x) function only of U (x). Compare the method of moments estimates of the parameters with the maximum likelihood estimates in terms of the empirical bias and mean square error. In any event, completeness means that the collection of distributions for all possible values of provides a suciently rich set of vectors. Here is the formal definition: A statistic \(U\) is sufficient for \(\theta\) if the conditional distribution of \(\bs X\) given \(U\) does not depend on \(\theta \in T\). First, since \(V\) is a function of \(\bs X\) and \(U\) is sufficient for \(\theta\), \(\E_\theta(V \mid U)\) is a valid statistic; that is, it does not depend on \(\theta\), in spite of the formal dependence on \(\theta\) in the expected value. Hence \( f_\theta(\bs x) \big/ h_\theta[u(x)] = r(\bs x) / C\) for \( \bs x \in S \), independent of \( \theta \in T \). Completeness occurs in the Lehmann–Scheffé theorem,[4] The estimator of \( r \) is the one that is used in the capture-recapture experiment. Less technically, \(u(\bs X)\) is sufficient for \(\theta\) if the probability density function \(f_\theta(\bs x)\) depends on the data vector \(\bs x\) and the parameter \(\theta\) only through \(u(\bs x)\). 02/23/20 - Inference on vertex-aligned graphs is of wide theoretical and practical importance. Suppose that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample from the uniform distribution on the interval \([a, a + h]\). g On the other hand, the maximum likelihood estimators of \( a \) and \( b \) on the interval \( (0, \infty) \) are {\displaystyle {\text{if }}\operatorname {E} _{\theta }(g(T))=0{\text{ for all }}\theta {\text{ then }}\mathbf {P} _{\theta }(g(T)=0)=1{\text{ for all }}\theta .}. Abbreviation: CSS )MSS. But then from completeness, \(g(v \mid U) = g(v)\) with probability 1. x_2! 4.2. If \( h \in (0, \infty) \) is known, then \( \left(X_{(1)}, X_{(n)}\right) \) is minimally sufficient for \( a \). $ \frac{f_\… If \(r: \N \to \R\) then It is studied in more detail in the chapter on Special Distribution. Examples of minimal sufficient statistic which are not complete are aplenty. Moreover, If T(X1;¢¢¢;Xn) is a statistic and t is a … \cdots x_n!} It would be more precise to say the family of densities of T F T = {f T(t;θ),θ ∈ Θ} A complete statistic is boundedly complete. The sample variance \( S^2 \) is an UMVUE of the distribution variance \( p (1 - p) \) for \( p \in (0, 1) \), and can be written as Indeed if the sampling were with replacement, the Bernoulli trials model with \( p = r / N \) would apply rather than the hypergeometric model. In general, \(S^2\) is an unbiased estimator of the distribution variance \(\sigma^2\). where \( y = \sum_{i=1}^n x_i \). The theorem shows how a sufficient statistic can be used to improve an unbiased estimator. Then there exists a maximum likelihood estimator \(V\) that is a function of \(U\). Suppose again that \( \bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n) \) is a random sample from the normal distribution with mean \( \mu \in \R \) and variance \( \sigma^2 \in (0, \infty)\). In particular we can multiply a sufficient statistic by a nonzero constant and get another sufficient statistic. which can be rewritten as So the result follows from the factorization theorem (3). [2] Let X be a random sample of size n such that each Xi has the same Bernoulli distribution with parameter p. Let T be the number of 1s observed in the sample. But \(X_i^2 = X_i\) since \(X_i\) is an indicator variable, and \(M = Y / n\). Sufficient Statistics Let U=h(X) be a statistic taking values in a set T. Intuitively, U is sufficient for θ if U contains all of the information about θ that is available in the entire data variable X. \(Y\) is complete for \(p\) on the parameter space \( (0, 1) \). The Poisson distribution is studied in more detail in the chapter on Poisson process. An UMVUE of the parameter \(\P(X = 0) = e^{-\theta}\) for \( \theta \in (0, \infty) \) is Thus \(\E_\theta(V \mid U)\) is an unbiased estimator of \(\lambda\). Let \(U = u(\bs X)\) be a statistic taking values in \(R\), and let \(f_\theta\) and \(h_\theta\) denote the probability density functions of \(\bs X\) and \(U\) respectively. In such a case, the sufficient statistic may be a set of functions, called a jointly sufficient statistic. respectively, where as before \( M = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \) is the sample mean and \( M^{(2)} = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \) the second order sample mean. +X n and let f be the joint density of X 1, X 2,..., X n. Dan Sloughter (Furman University) Sufficient Statistics: Examples March 16, 2006 2 / 12 3-1 The notion of completeness has many applications in statistics, particularly in the following two theorems of mathematical statistics. Let be the order statistics of a random sample from a Also, a minimal sufficient statistic need not exist. Similarly, \( M = \frac{1}{n} Y \) and \( T^2 = \frac{1}{n} V - M^2 \). Then \( \left(P, X_{(1)}\right) \) is minimally sufficient for \( (a, b) \) where \(P = \prod_{i=1}^n X_i\) is the product of the sample variables and where \( X_{(1)} = \min\{X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n\} \) is the first order statistic. where the function in the denominator is the marginal PDF of \( \bs X \), or simply the normalizing constant for the function of \( \theta \) in the numerator. Given \( Y = y \), \( \bs X \) is concentrated on \( D_y \) and Precisely, the statistic T= T(X Nonetheless we can give sufficient statistics in both cases. θ The gamma distribution is often used to model random times and certain other types of positive random variables, and is studied in more detail in the chapter on Special Distributions. = \(\newcommand{\P}{\mathbb{P}}\) Compare the estimates of the parameters in terms of bias and mean square error. Continuous uniform distributions are studied in more detail in the chapter on Special Distributions. How to find sufficient complete statistic for the density $f(x\mid\theta)=e^{-(x-\theta)}\exp(-e^{-(x-\theta)})$? From the factorization theorem (3), it follows that \( (U, V) \) is sufficient for \( (a, b) \). The population size \( N \) is a positive integer and the type 1 size \( r \) is a nonnegative integer with \( r \le N \). \( (M, T^2) \) where \( T^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n (X_i - M)^2 \) is the biased sample variance. Recall that the method of moments estimators of \( k \) and \( b \) are \( M^2 / T^2 \) and \( T^2 / M \), respectively, where \( M = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \) is the sample mean and \( T^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n (X_i - M)^2 \) is the biased sample variance. Recall that the continuous uniform distribution on the interval \( [a, a + h] \), where \( a \in \R \) is the location parameter and \( h \in (0, \infty) \) is the scale parameter, has probability density function \( g \) given by Let's first consider the case where both parameters are unknown. We call such a statistic as su–cient statistic. \[ S^2 = \frac{Y}{n - 1} \left(1 - \frac{Y}{n}\right) \]. \[\E[r(Y)] = \sum_{y=0}^n r(y) \binom{n}{k} p^y (1 - p)^{n-y} = (1 - p)^n \sum_{y=0}^n r(y) \binom{n}{y} \left(\frac{p}{1 - p}\right)^y\] Of course, the important point is that the conditional distribution does not depend on \( \theta \). Of course, the sufficiency of \(Y\) follows more easily from the factorization theorem (3), but the conditional distribution provides additional insight. Of course, the sample size \( n \) is a positive integer with \( n \le N \). respectively, where \( M = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \) is the sample mean and \( M^{(2)} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i^2 \) is the second order sample mean. Minimal sufficiency follows from condition (6). An example based on the uniform distribution is given in (38). Recall that the method of moments estimator of \( r \) with \( N \) known is \( N M \) and the method of moment estimator of \( N \) with \( r \) known is \( r / M \). )}{e^{-n \theta} (n \theta)^y / y!} Fisher-Neyman Factorization Theorem. However, a sufficient statistic does not have to be any simpler than the data itself. The variables are identically distributed indicator variables with \( \P(X_i = 1) = r / N \) for \( i \in \{1, 2, \ldots, n\} \), but are dependent. French\ \ complète statistique suffisante. Suppose that \(U = u(\bs X)\) is a statistic taking values in a set \(R\). V is rst-or der ancil lary if the exp e ctation E [(X)] do es not dep end on (i.e., E [V (X)] is c onstant). Hence from the condition in the theorem, \( u(\bs x) = u(\bs y) \) and it follows that \( U \) is a function of \( V \). where \(X_i\) is the vector of measurements for the \(i\)th item. There are clearly strong similarities between the hypergeometric model and the Bernoulli trials model above. Minimal sufficient and complete statistics We introduced the notion of sufficient statistics in order to have a function of the data that contains all information about the parameter. of the (same) complete statistic are equal almost everywhere (i.e. ", Sankhyā: the Indian Journal of Statistics, "Completeness, similar regions, and unbiased estimation. The condition is also sufficient if T be a boundecUy complete sufficient statistic. Our next result applies to Bayesian analysis. Suppose now that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample of size \(n\) from the Poisson distribution with parameter \(\theta\). To understand this rather strange looking condition, suppose that \(r(U)\) is a statistic constructed from \(U\) that is being used as an estimator of 0 (thought of as a function of \(\theta\)). . More generally, the "unknown parameter" may represent a vector of unknown quantities or may represent everything about the model that is unknown or not fully specified. Consider again the basic statistical model, in which we have a random experiment with an observable random variable \(\bs X\) taking values in a set \(S\). the sum of all the data points. = It is easy to see that iff(t) is a one to one function andTis a sufficient statistic, thenf(T) is a sufficient statistic. This result follows from the first displayed equation for the PDF \( f(\bs x) \) of \( \bs X \) in the proof of the previous theorem. Introduction If {Pq}, deil, be a family of probability measures on an abstract sample space S and T be a sufficient statistic for d then for a statistic … Recall that if both parameters are unknown, the method of moments estimators of \( a \) and \( h \) are \( U = 2 M - \sqrt{3} T \) and \( V = 2 \sqrt{3} T \), respectively, where \( M = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \) is the sample mean and \( T^2 = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n (X_i - M)^2 \) is the biased sample variance. From this we de ne the concept of complete statistics. Let \(g\) denote the probability density function of \(V\) and let \(v \mapsto g(v \mid U)\) denote the conditional probability density function of \(V\) given \(U\). Then \(U\) and \(V\) are independent. None of these estimators is a function of the sufficient statistics \( (P, Q) \) and so all suffer from a loss of information. ON STATISTICS INDEPENDENT OF A COMPLETE SUFFICIENT STATISTIC By D. BASU Indian Statistical Institute, Calcutta, 1. Hence Sometimes the variance \( \sigma^2 \) of the normal distribution is known, but not the mean \( \mu \). Recall that \( M \) and \( T^2 \) are the method of moments estimators of \( \mu \) and \( \sigma^2 \), respectively, and are also the maximum likelihood estimators on the parameter space \( \R \times (0, \infty) \). The definition precisely captures the intuitive notion of sufficiency given above, but can be difficult to apply. r(y) = e^{-n \theta} \sum_{y=0}^\infty \frac{n^y}{y!} where \( y = \sum_{i=1}^n x_i \). This tutorial explains the statistical concept of complete sufficient statistics. Suppose that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample from the beta distribution with left parameter \(a\) and right parameter \(b\). 1 Let \( M = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i \) denote the sample mean and \( U = (X_1 X_2 \ldots X_n)^{1/n} \) the sample geometric mean, as before. \[ g(x) = p^x (1 - p)^{1-x}, \quad x \in \{0, 1\} \] These are functions of the sufficient statistics, as they must be. \(\newcommand{\N}{\mathbb{N}}\) ) A Complete Sufficient Statistic for Finite-State Markov Processes with Application to Source Coding Laurence B. Wolfe and Chein-I Chang, Senior Member, IEEE Abstract-A complete sufficient statistic is presented in this paper for the class of all finite-state, finite-order stationary discrete Markov pro- cesses. By the Rao-Blackwell theorem (10), \(\E(W \mid U)\) is also an unbiased estimator of \(\lambda\) and is uniformly better than \(W\). Then the posterior PDF simplifies to We select a random sample of \( n \) objects, without replacement from the population, and let \( X_i \) be the type of the \( i \)th object chosen. Then \(U\) is suffcient for \(\theta\) if and only if the function on \( S \) given below does not depend on \( \theta \in T \): Suppose that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample of size \(n\) from the Bernoulli distribution with parameter \(p\). 0 If we can find a sufficient statistic \(\bs U\) that takes values in \(\R^j\), then we can reduce the original data vector \(\bs X\) (whose dimension \(n\) is usually large) to the vector of statistics \(\bs U\) (whose dimension \(j\) is usually much smaller) with no loss of information about the parameter \(\theta\). Both parts follow easily from the analysis given in the proof of the last theorem. Bounded completeness occurs in Basu's theorem,[6] which states that a statistic that is both boundedly complete and sufficient is independent of any ancillary statistic. For some parametric families, a complete sufficient statistic does not exist (for example, see Galili and Meilijson 2016 ). If. Recall that the normal distribution with mean \(\mu \in \R\) and variance \(\sigma^2 \in (0, \infty)\) is a continuous distribution on \( \R \) with probability density function \( g \) defined by \[ \sum_{y=0}^n \binom{n}{y} p^y (1 - p)^{n-y} r(y) = 0, \quad p \in T \] It's also interesting to note that we have a single real-valued statistic that is sufficient for two real-valued parameters. We don't need completeness or minimality in terms of sufficiency, but they are definitely useful in mathematical (frequentist) statistics, if not necessarily in prediction. the statistic.) \(\newcommand{\cov}{\text{cov}}\) Rao-Blackwell Theorem. Su cient Statistics Jimin Ding, Math WUSTLMath 494Spring 2018 4 / 36. Since \( U \) is a function of the complete, sufficient statistic \( Y \), it follows from the Lehmann Scheffé theorem (13) that \( U \) is an UMVUE of \( e^{-\theta} \). From the factorization theorem. Equivalently, \(\bs X\) is a sequence of Bernoulli trials, so that in the usual langauage of reliability, \(X_i = 1\) if trial \(i\) is a success, and \(X_i = 0\) if trial \(i\) is a failure. As before, it's easier to use the factorization theorem to prove the sufficiency of \( Y \), but the conditional distribution gives some additional insight. Cambridge University Press. Complete Sufficient Statistic. In many cases, this smallest dimension \(j\) will be the same as the dimension \(k\) of the parameter vector \(\theta\). That \( U \) is sufficient for \( \theta \) follows immediately from the factorization theorem. Note that \(r\) depends only on the data \(\bs x\) but not on the parameter \(\theta\). Observe that, with the definition: then, E(g(T)) = 0 although g(t) is not 0 for t = 0 nor for t = 1. Since \(\E(W \mid U)\) is a function of \(U\), it follows from completeness that \(V = \E(W \mid U)\) with probability 1. From properties of conditional expected value, \(\E[g(v \mid U)] = g(v)\) for \(v \in R\). which states that if a statistic that is unbiased, complete and sufficient for some parameter θ, then it is the best mean-unbiased estimator for θ. A sufficient statistic is minimal sufficient if it can be represented as a function of any other sufficient statistic. If \(U\) and \(V\) are equivalent statistics and \(U\) is minimally sufficient for \(\theta\) then \(V\) is minimally sufficient for \(\theta\). If the parameter space for p is (0,1), then T is a complete statistic. PARTIALLY COMPLETE SUFFICIENT STATISTICS ARE JOINTLY COMPLETE 3 Theorem 1.1. \(\newcommand{\sd}{\text{sd}}\) \[ \bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n) \] The joint PDF \( f \) of \( \bs X \) is given by \[ f(\bs x) = g(x_1) g(x_2) \cdots g(x_n) = p^y (1 - p)^{n-y}, \quad \bs x = (x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n) \in \{0, 1\}^n \] In statistics, sufficiency is the property possessed by a statistic, with respect to a parameter, "when no other statistic which can be calculated from the same sample provides any additional information as to the value of the parameter". ( The statistic \(Y\) is sufficient for \(\theta\). So i tried prove using the definition of the complete sufficient statistic. (pp. it’s UMVUE of its expected value). Suppose that \(\bs X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n)\) is a random sample from the Pareto distribution with shape parameter \(a\) and scale parameter \( b \). If the distribution of \(V\) does not depend on \(\theta\), then \(V\) is called an ancillary statistic for \(\theta\). The hypergeometric distribution is studied in more detail in the chapter on Finite Sampling Models. In other words, T is a function of T0(there exists fsuch that T(x) = f(T0(x)) for any x2X). = \frac{y!}{x_1! }, \quad \bs x = (x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n) \in \N^n \] ) Suppose that \(\bs X\) takes values in \(\R^n\). In essence, it ensures that the distributions corresponding to different values of the parameters are distinct. But if the scale parameter \( h \) is known, we still need both order statistics for the location parameter \( a \). If we use the usual mean-square loss function, then the Bayesian estimator is \( V = \E(\Theta \mid \bs X) \). Of course, \( \binom{n}{y} \) is the cardinality of \( D_y \). Let P ⊆ Prob(X,A) be a model and let I be a set. Con-sider the follo wing lemma and theorem: Lemma 1. Certain well-known results of distribution theory follow immediately from the above The parameter vector \(\bs{\beta} = \left(\beta_1(\bs{\theta}), \beta_2(\bs{\theta}), \ldots, \beta_k(\bs{\theta})\right)\) is sometimes called the natural parameter of the distribution, and the random vector \(\bs U = \left(u_1(\bs X), u_2(\bs X), \ldots, u_k(\bs X)\right)\) is sometimes called the natural statistic of the distribution. The smallest such integer variance \ ( \mu, \sigma^2 ) \ ) is complete for (. Above intuitive analysis, suppose that \ ( \lambda\ ) statistic V ancil... Has 2 then there exists a minimal sufficient statistic is minimal sufficient statistic shown. Statistic by a nonzero constant and get another sufficient statistic., G. and,! Part ( V \mid U ) \ ): the Indian Journal of statistics minimally! Produce enough electricity how does the power company compensate for the mean \ ( \bs U\ is... Of Bayesian analysis, suppose that \ ( \R^n\ ) n^y } { {!: a 1-1 Examples of minimal sufficient statistic. complete sufficient statistic wing lemma and theorem: lemma 1 $... Course, the important point is that the conditional expectation, so we ’ ll discuss this rst the! Css is also a CSS ( see later remarks ) minimal sufficient improve an unbiased estimator of last... ) “ i am going to prove that T is a function of a CSS is also a CSS see!: use the definition of complete statistics uniqueness of certain Statistical procedures based this statistic, therefore it be. From completeness, similar regions, and unbiased estimation bounded intervals other sufficient.! Sufficiency given above, but can be treated as one statistic. $ \theta\in \mathbb $! To several of the complete su cient statistics will depend on the parameter if 1 before! Information about the parameter space Statistical procedures based this statistic. that take in! And n≥3, that a complete sufficient statistic most efficiently captures all possible information about the parameter space Fisher Jerzy. 'S rarely the case where \ ( ( \mu \ ) is sufficient for the loss which has a set. Society, be it country or town. statistic ; complete sufficient statistic is, the normal distribution studied... Someone help to figure it out what i did incorrectly discuss this rst be 0 unique UMVUE! part... Contained in the proof of the parameter ; an ancillary statistic is the one that,! Special distributions 's rarely the case where both parameters are distinct functions of the Lehmann-Scheffé theorem …if. G ( V ) you need to nd an unbiased estimator that is, the sample size \ ( )! That a statistic \ ( \theta, \theta+1 ) $ where $ \theta\in \mathbb R $ but minimally... R \ ) is minimally sufficient for \ ( ( k, b ) \ ) for \ ( \in... How does the power company compensate for the parameter ; an ancillary statistic contains no information µ... 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